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Friday, December 29, 2023

IMPLEMENTING THE CHANGE FOR THE GOOD OF THE CITIZENS

POLITES,CITIZENS,METAPOLITANS,

MATRIOTS&PATRIOTS,DEMOCRATS,

DEAR READERS,CHAIRESTHAI,

I APOLOGIZE MYSELF FOR  NOT  POSTING AT THIS BLOG  AS FREQUENT AS AT THE PAST.

ONE OF THE REASONS WAS THAT THE NEWS WERE ABOUT THE SAME,WITH KNOWN RYTHMS,DIRECTED BY THE ARCHITECS WHO REPRESENT THE GLOBALISTIC OLIGARCHIC CHANGE(THE GREAT RESET A).

OUR MOVEMENTS AROUND GrA-EA/EA-RTH OIKOS(ecos) ARE FLOURISHING WHEN THE GLOBALISTS QUARREL IS AUGMENTING.NOW THEY HAVE TO HANDLE PROPERLY THESE PROBLEMS WHICH THEY CREATED:

A)THE ECONOMIC CRISIS WHICH IS WORSEN CAUSED BY INFLATION 

B)WARS mainly BETWEEN UKRAINE-RUSSIA & ISRAEL-HAMAS .

C)DISEASES ARE STILL ON THE RUN APART FROM THE VIRUS.THESE COMBINED WITH HUNGER CAN ACCELERATE THE FALL OF THE GLOBAL POLICIES( there was never a pandemic). 

D)ENERGY CRISIS WHICH CREATED THE RETURN FOR NUCLEAR POLICIES AND THE  FAIL FOR THE SO CALLED CLIMATE CHANGE POLICIES

E)CULTURAL AND ETHICAL DECAY WITH CORRUPTION BEING AUGMENTED BRINGING AS MAIN RESULT UNCONTROLLED  IMMIGRATION

OUR STANCE TO THEIR UPCOMING COLLAPSE IF THE CITIZENS WILL ASSIST REMAINS AS IT WAS DESCRIBED AT THE BEGINING OF THE 2023 (THE CHANGE IS HERE TO STAY FOR SOME CENTURIES).

THIS ARTICLE WILL BE FOCUSED ON THE WAR BETWEEN UKRAINE AND RUSSIA BECAUSE IT IS BELIEVED THAT THIS WILL HAVE MORE CONSEQUENSES TO THE LIVES OF EUROPEAN&MEDITERRANEAN CITIZENS.THIS WAR IF WILL   MANAGE TO KEEP UKRAINE AT THE EUROPEAN BROADER POLICIES CONCEPT WILL PUT AN END TO THE PLANS OF THOSE WHO SUPPORT EURO-ASEAN POLICIES.

EUROASEAN POLICIES CREATE A MIXING+PERPLEXED ENVIRONMENT WHICH ISNT FOR THE BENEFIT OF OUR ZONE.

THE ASIANS FROM THE LATE 5TH CENTURY AD HAVE INVATED TO OUR CONTINENT BY VARIOUS WAYS EITHER PEACEFULLY OR BY TERROR-WARS.ON THE CONTRARY WE THE EUROPEANS WE ENTERED TO SOUTH-ASIA  DURING THE EPOC OF ALEXANDER THE GREAT(or even DIONYSUS as mythology describes) WHO IS  STILL ADMIRED BY THE LOCALS FOR TRASMITING THE  HELLENIC CULTURES TO THEM.THE ROMANS KEPT OUR FRONTIERS FOR MORE THAN 16 CENTURIES AND ONLY THE WESTERN STATES DURING THE 16-18TH CENTURIES AD BEHAVED IN A BAD MANNERED POLITICAL WAY FOR SOME PERIODS.

THE CURRENT RUSSIAN ADMINISTRATION USES THESE EURO-ASEAN POLICIES IN ORDER TO CONSERVE ITS EXISTANCE AT THE SIBERIAN TERRITORIES BUT ALSO TO THE EUROPEAN LANDS BEFORE THE URALS.

THE CAPABLE LEADER OF THEM HONORABLE CITIZEN HIS EXCELLENCY PRESIDENT MR.PUTIN HAS ACHIEVED HIS TARGETS NOT ONLY TO THE SPECIAL MILITARY OPERATION AGAINST UCRAINE AND BEFORE THAT AT GEORGIA BUT ALSO BY ESTABLISHING AN ALLIANCE WITH CHINA-IRAN AND N.KOREA.HE TOGETHER WITH THE CHINESE COMMUNISTS ARE REBUILDING A SECOND CHOISE FOR THE GLOBALISTS ,THE statecapitalism VISION.

THIS ALLIANCE IS GOING TO ORGANISE REGIMES WHICH ARE NAMED BY THE WRITER OF THIS TEXT  AS  "NATIONAL COMMUNISM" STATES LIKE IT WAS DONE AT THE OLD BIPOLAR WORLD  BY THE COLD WAR POLICIES(THE GREAT RESET B).THAT FOR THEM WILL BE THE EVOLUTION OF THE SOVIET ERA WHICH WILL BE LEADED BY CHINA.

UKRAINE HAS TO UNDERSTAND THAT IT SHOULD CREATE PEACE(U.S., European officials broach topic of peace negotiations with Ukraine) BY NEGOTIANING THE TERRITORIES WHICH ARE OCCUPIED BY THE RUSSIANS  TO BECOME A BUFFER ZONE.
THE  FUTURE WILL PROOVE IF OUR EUROPEAN POLICIES ARE BETTER OR WORSE FOR THE CITIZENS AT THE OCCUPIED TERRITORIES .IF OURS WILL BE BETTER  THE RUSSIANS WILL BE FORCED TO LEAVE BY THE LOCAL CITIZENS LIKE THEY DID WITH THE COLLAPSE OF THE EX SOVIET UNION.

UKRAINE SHOULD ASSIST THE EFFORTS FOR  THE CREATION OF A EUROPEAN DEFENSE COMMUNITY AS IT IS PROPOSED (BUILDING A PAN-EUROPEAN DEFENSE SYSTEM).THIS  WILL OFFER ANOTHER PARAMETER OF STABILITY TO THE TERRITORY BY UKRAINEs PARTICIPATION TO WHICH RUSSIA DOESNT HAVE A BIG ISSUE.

PUTTING ON THE NEGOTIATIONS TABLE THAT:

A)ALL OCCUPIED TERRITORIES(and crimea) WILL BE DEMILITARISED UNDER THE INSPECTION OF UNITED NATIONS AND RUSSIAs GUARANTY FOR AN AUTONOMY REGIME.
B)UKRAINE CAN BE A MEMBER OF THE EUROPEAN DEFENSE COMMUNITY AND EU ,BUT NOT A NATO ONE
C)UKRAINE WILL BE A BRIDGE FOR THE EUROPEAN AND RUSSIAN JOIN POLICIES AND WILL ACT SO.


THESE POINTS ARE VERY CLOSE TO WHAT RUSSIA ASKS AND OFFER  A PLATFORM FOR FUTURE COOPERATION BY RESPECTING THE CHOICES OF LOCAL PEOPLES,NATIONS,CITIZENS.
THE WHOLE ZONE OF NOTHERN  BLACK SEA WILL BECOME A ZONE OF COMMUNICATIONS IN PEACE FOR ALL ACTIVITIES WHICH PROMOTE FREE TRADE AND PROSPERITY BETWEEN EUROPEANS AND RUSSIANS,WHO 
ARE  ALSO EUROPEANS.

THE WAR BETWEEN ISRAEL-HAMAS WILL BE ANALYSED LATER ON .THIS WAR SOONER OR LATER WILL END WITHOUT LOTS OF CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS SITUATION(“Wiping Gaza Off The Map”: Big Money Agenda. Confiscating Palestine’s Maritime Natural Gas Reserves) BECAUSE THIS ISNT FOR THE BENEFIT OF ISRAEL.



IT IS WISHED AGAIN AND ONLY 

PEACE-PAIX-IRENE FOR 2024

MERCI DE VOTRE SOUTIEN ET AMITIE

HYGEIAINETE EN AGAPE

A.C.




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Sunday, November 22, 2015

THE GLOBALIZATION IS AGAINST ANY KIND OF REAL DEMOCRACY

(BY CLICKING ON THE TITLE WE ARE REDIRECTED TO AN ARTICLE CONCERNING THE LEADER OF THE SO CALLED CALIPHATE)

DEAR FOLLOWERS AND READERS CHAIRESTHAI,
AFTER A LONG TIME,REGARDING THE GEOPOLITICS SECTOR ( ABRAHAMIC THEOCRATIC REGIMES ARE CAUSING ONCE MORE AFTER 2.500 YEARS,A CONFLICT ), HERE WE ARE AGAIN, IN ORDER TO EXPRESS CONCERNS FOR THE EUROPEAN AND MEDITERRANEAN LANDS,WHERE A BIG CHANGE IS TRIED TO BE IMPLEMENTED WITHOUT THE GOOD WILL OF THE CITIZENS.
OUR BROTHERS THE  GLOBALISTS,HAVE CREATED A LOTS OF TURNS ALL THESE YEARS MAINLY  AT THE STATES OF TUNISIA,LIBYA,EGYPT,SYRIA,IRAQ,SERBIA,UKRAINE,GEORGIA,WHICH ARE INTO OUR GEOPOLITICAL INTERESTS.
THE VIOLENT WAYS WHICH ARE USUALLY USED,COMBINED WITH HYPOCRITICAL PEACEFUL METHODS,HAVE TRANSFERRED THE TERRORIST FRONTIERS FROM ISRAEL/PALESTINE,IRAQ,AFGHANISTAN,CAUCASUS  AND AFRICA  INTO EUROPE.

THE OLIGARCHIC POWERS BY THE USE OF FEAR  CONTINUE THEIR PLAN (A GEO-STRATEGIC STRUCTURE IN THE MIDDLE EAST ),FOR AN APOCALYPTIC WAR.
NOW THAT THE TECHNOLOGY HAS BEEN DEVELOPED TO SUCH LEVELS FOR WHICH THE WORKING ,THE LOW CLASSES AND ENSLAVED POPULATIONS AREN'T ANY MORE USEFUL FOR THEIR NEEDS,BECAUSE THE ROBOTIC INTELLIGENCE RESOLVES THESE,THEY CREATE CRISIS AND WARS,AS IT IS VERY WELL KNOWN FROM  HISTORY.

THE THOUGHTS FOR A LIMITATION OF PEOPLE,ANIMALS OR ANY EMBIOUS LIVES IS AGAINST THE THEION ORDER FOR "ΑΥΞΑΝΕΣΘΕ ΚΑΙ ΠΛΗΘΥΝΕΣΘΕ ΚΑΙ ΚΑΤΑΚΥΡΙΕΥΣΑΤΕ ΤΗΝ ΓΗΝ" AND IT SHOULD BE ADDED ANY LAND,ROCK AND PLANET,WITHOUT HARMING THE EMBIOUS LIVES.
THAT'S WHY IS OUR OBLIGATION TOWARDS THE NEW GENERATIONS,OUR CULTURE AND TERRITORIAL ZONE's PROTECTION TO RESIST AND GET THE CONTROL  FOR A REAL (DIRECT) DEMOCRACY.

IT IS  VERY WELL KNOWN THAT THE ECONOMIC, CAPITALISTIC AND COMMUNISTIC SYSTEMS,TOGETHER WITH THE OLDER KINGDOMS AND DECLINED ARISTOCRACIES HAVE FAILED  NOWADAYS ( EUROPE COMES FROM MEDITERRANEAN )AFTER A LONG PERIOD OF PROSPERITY,BUT WITHOUT BRINGING PERMANENT PEACE TO OUR SOCIETIES.

OUR ALLIES AND PARTNERS BEING SECURED BY THE OCEAN, ARE ALREADY REACTING AT THEIR CONTINENT BY  PROTECTING THEIR SECURITY AND TAKING MEASURES AGAINST THE CITIZENS WHO ARE  TRAVELLING THERE FROM OUR TERRITORY.




EUROPEAN AND MEDITERRANEAN CITIZENS DO NOT BE AFRAID,DO NOT FOLLOW THE BARBARIC AND BRUTAL  WAYS WHICH ARE PHENOMENOLOGICAL SHOWN,BECAUSE

we shall overcome

Steering The Masses Towards Total War  
It goes without saying that the atrocities of Paris on November 13, 2015 were unspeakable and sickening. But what is not being said in the wake of the incident—what has been ignored by the mass media—is predictably telling and ominous.
As in the wake of 9/11, the people of the world are being provoked, agitated and mobilized; the fear, horror, rage and shock channeled and shaped into wave of collective vengeance and hatred. Hatred towards what and whom?
The Islamic State has claimed responsibility for the attacks. But what is the Islamic State?
The fact that remains willfully unacknowledged is that Islamic State is the guided military-intelligence and political apparatus of the West, created, trained, financed, advised and protected by the West and NATO—including France.
The Islamic State and Islamic extremism, including Al-Qaeda, functions on behalf of NATO and Western geostrategic interests.
The intelligence agencies of the West and NATO, led by the CIA, MI-6, the Mossad, the Pakistani ISI, etc. run the Islamic State terrorists.
Jihadist terrorism would not exist without the nurturing of the West, which started with the Cold War, continued into the conflicts in the Balkans, and exploded with 9/11 and the “war on terrorism”, and continues to metastasize with the so-called war on the Islamic State, a rebranded continuation of the same fabricated criminal war of deception.
The West and its architects of war are ultimately responsible for all acts of terrorism perpetrated by their own terrorist shock troops.
“the notion that the Paris attack was an act of retribution and revenge directed against France is questionable and contradictory inasmuch as the evidence confirms that France has been channeling weapons to jihadist rebels in Syria including Al Nusrah and ISIS.”
What if it was “blowback”? What if the Paris terrorists went “rogue” and attacked their own sponsors? What if these terrorist cells were “out of control”? What if these and other groups are simply “going berserk” for “inexplicable reasons”? What if one accepts the (highly unlikely) notion that the CIA, the NSA, French intelligence, the Mossad, etc. —agencies with the most sophisticated spying capabilities on the planet—suddenly and simultaneously lost track of everything? There are red herrings. The West is still responsible for the actions of its assets. The West has not “lost control” of the Islamic State. In fact, the terrorists are being run with remarkable efficiency and effectiveness. The chaos and plunder are not random. The atrocities are designed. Were it not for unwelcome Russian “interference”, the Anglo-American empire would now control more geography than it already does. The Syrian regime arguably might have fallen.
Anglo-American war policy is what has set terrorism loose. It continues to sow, foment and expand terrorism in an unimaginable scale, with no end in sight. The trail of blood leads back to the policy, and its policy makers.
This apocalyptic crisis is not a war “on” terror, but a war “of” terror, committed by terrorists, guided by terrorists, and psychopathic war criminals that operate beyond the reach of law.
Stopping terrorism is not the real agenda. In fact, the opposite: the West’s terrorist armies are key assets used to infiltrate and destabilize, to topple the regimes that NATO seeks to co-opt, invade and conquer. One by one they fall in this manner, from Iraq and Libya to what is unfolding now in Syria, towards the even greater agenda.
The “war on the Islamic State” is not even about the Islamic State, no matter what horrific acts are committed by the ISIS/ISIL killers themselves. The war is, and has always been, a superpower world war pitting the West against Russia and China, everywhere Western geostrategic/resource/corporate interests dictate.
The “spectacular” bloodshed—the unspeakable scale and intensity of the murder—will only become more outlandish and “creative”, as the war planners become increasingly desperate to keep the easily distracted masses in home countries galvanized and fearful, and militantly supportive of the larger war agenda, and deepening involvement on the front lines.
Who benefits? Who benefits from weaponizing France and its people? The same forces that have benefitted from all such atrocities since 9/11. All of the governments that are aiming to destabilize, invade, and conquer the Eurasian subcontinent, including the Middle East and Central Asia, and beyond. All of the governments seeking regime change in Syria: NATO.
The operatic expressions of remorse on behalf of officials hide the realpolitik; the cold, calculating sociopathy that views war as industry, mass murder as a means to “victory”, and slaughter of innocents as “necessary collateral damage”. Three thousand dead on 9/11. A jetliner full of Russian tourists. Tens of thousands across the killing fields of the Middle East, Central Asia, and Africa. More than one hundred snuffed out in Paris. All in a day’s work.
The current line justified by the bloody headlines and propaganda is that even more endless “total war” must be waged. President Hollande now channels Dick Cheney’s “war that will not end in our lifetimes”, and George W. Bush’s “with us or against us”.
Paris proves, according to the propaganda, that time is overdue for regime change in Syria. Syria, the “hotbed” of terrorism, where the Islamic State is “out of control”. The Assad regime has “failed to stop it”; therefore the Assad regime must be “taken out” along with the “terrorists”.
It is no coincidence that Paris has prompted President Barack Obama to promise an escalation of military involvement in Syria. More accurately, the justification to openly invade Syria has been given the green light. The “boots on the ground” invasion of Syria, which is already underway, is now accelerated. Obama undoubtedly wants to finish the job before he leaves office in 2016. A new series of air strikes on Raqqa, Syria began less than 48 hours after the Paris attacks.
What of the Paris attacks themselves? The official narrative is being created. Although it is early in the process, questions about the Paris attack are mounting. The similarities to the false flag operation of 9/11 are abundant.
Quoting the New York Times, it “remains unclear how a plot of such sophistication and lethality escaped the notice of intelligence agencies, both in France and abroad.” But emerging evidence suggests that the intelligence agencies not only knew, but knew enough to prepare for the attacks, which suggests that they were allowed to happen.
France had foreknowledge of imminent attacks and preparations were underway weeks before November 13th, including emergency meetings with CIA director John Brenanan, and unusual advanced preparation of first responders—who happened to be ready in Paris on November 13th.
massive cyberattack—one beyond the capabilities of the terrorists–took down French security systems prior to and during the incident.
French officials knew the attackers and were tracking them continuously for a significant period, yet did nothing to stop them.
From the orchestration and execution of the atrocities themselves, to the response, to the reaction, the signs of long planning, scripting, choreography, and calculation are evident.
There will be incompetence excuses (“we were caught off guard”), hopelessness and chaos excuses (“we cannot predict nor stop anything”), and other variations. But they fail to explain evidence to the contrary.
According to the CIA operatives, think tank “terrorism experts”, and other warmongering blowhards that spewed nonsense nonstop on CNN all day and all night following the Paris attacks, another “new normal” has been set.
All such brainwashing must be resisted.
The larger context must not be lost amidst chaos and panic.
It is the war itself—its architects as well as its murdering operatives—that must be condemned.
The killers who coldly executed innocent people acted on orders from handlers. The handlers themselves had handlers. And they in turn took orders from individuals occupying high positions of power. It is these individuals who must be identified and exposed; their war agenda resisted and stopped. For the sake of what is left of humanity.
Larry Chin 16/11/15
SOURCE GLOBAL RESEARCH





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Sunday, September 22, 2013

Nuclear, Chemical and Biological Weapons but not only Threaten World Peace


DEAR FELLOWS CHAIRESTHAI,
OUR STANCE FOR ASSAD'S REGIME IS  KNOWN AND POSTED SOME YEARS AGO.
ASSAD FAMILY SHOULD ORGANIZE A DEPART FROM ITS DICTATORSHIP,BY PERMITTING,FACILITATING THE  ESTABLISHMENT OF A DEMOCRATIC STATE AND STOP RULING THE COUNTRY,ANY MORE.
EVEN THOUGH A MASSACRE IS HAPPENING IN SYRIA,ALL INVOLVED PARTIES HAVE TO BE BLAMED FOR THIS ,BECAUSE A CIVIL WAR FINDS NO JUSTICE AT ANY SIDE.

KILLING YOUR BROTHERS WAS AND STILL IS THE GREATEST  CRIME , AGAINST  OUR HUMAN NATURE AND  HOLY FREEDOM. 

WE AS EUROPEANS FOR THE SAFETY, NOT ONLY OF THE INHABITANTS,TO THE LANDS WHERE NUCLEAR,CHEMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS ARE KEPT, BUT ALSO TO OUR CITIZENS SECURITY,HAVE TO WORK ON ELIMINATING ANY KIND OF SUCH INSTRUMENTS OF DESTRUCTION  WHEREVER THEY ARE  AND ESPECIALLY AT OUR NEIGHBOURHOOD IN  MEDITERRANEAN AND MIDDLE EAST TERRITORIES.

VARIOUS INDUSTRIAL DISASTERS

IT MUST BE ADMITTED THAT THIS IS NOT ENOUGH,BUT IT IS THE HIGHEST PRIORITY FOR PEACE AND PROSPERITY,BECAUSE SEVERE RESTRICTIONS UP TO ELIMINATION, MUST BE TARGETED AND IMPLEMENTED  TO THESE INDUSTRIES WHICH USE THE SAME MATERIALS,MENTIONED AT THE TITLE, FOR PEACEFUL REASONS TOO

The Sixth Review Conference agreed to establish a second Inter-Sessional Process. The topics agreed upon were:
i. Ways and means to enhance national implementation, including enforcement of national legislation, strengthening of national institutions and coordination among national law enforcement institutions.
ii. Regional and sub regional cooperation on BWC implementation.
iii. National, regional and international measures to improve biosafety and biosecurity, including laboratory safety and security of pathogens and toxins.
iv. Oversight, education, awareness raising, and adoption and/or development of codes of conduct with the aim to prevent misuse in the context of advances in bio science and bio technology research with the potential of use for purposes prohibited by the Convention.
v. With a view to enhancing international cooperation, assistance and exchange in biological sciences and technology for peaceful purposes, promoting capacity building in the fields of disease surveillance, detection, diagnosis, and containment of infectious diseases: (1) for States Parties in need of assistance, identifying requirements and requests for capacity enhancement, and (2) from States Parties in a position to do so, and international organizations, opportunities for providing assistance related to these fields.
vi. Provision of assistance and coordination with relevant organizations upon request by any State Party in the case of alleged use of biological or toxin weapons, including improving national capabilities for disease surveillance, detection and diagnosis and public health systems.
Topics i and ii were dealt with in 2007, iii and iv in 2008, v in 2009, and vi in 2010. For the second Inter-Sessional Process, the Meetings of Experts for each year was reduced to one week
SOURCE  
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biological_Weapons_Convention).
THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION AND SUPPORT
A.C.




Israel’s  Weapons Threaten World Peace

Syria threatens no one. It hasn’t used chemical weapons against insurgents or its own civilians. Claims otherwise are fabricated.
In contrast, Israel is nuclear armed and dangerous. It maintains large chemical and biological weapons arsenals. More on that below.
In 1986, Dimona nuclear technician/heroic whistleblower Mordechai Vananu revealed important documents, photos, and other scientific evidence.
They proved Israel began producing atomic weapons since at least the 1960s. Years later, thermonuclear warheads were manufactured.
It’s believed Israel’s arsenal includes hundreds it won’t admit to publicly. It’s missile capability can deliver them long range. So can its nuclear submarines.
Vananu revealed Israel’s nuclear program. He provided credible evidence. Doing so cost him dearly.
In 1986, Mossad agents lured him to Rome. They beat, drugged and kidnapped him. He was secretly tried. He was convicted on espionage and treason charges.
He got 18 years in prison. He spent much of it in brutalizing solitary confinement. He suffered cruel and barbaric treatment.
After release, he was imprisoned again. It was for speaking to foreign journalists. Daniel Ellsberg calls him “the preeminent hero of the nuclear era.”
Vananu said “I am neither a traitor nor a spy. I only wanted the world to know what was happening.” People everywhere have a right to know.
No matter how secure he is in Russia or elsewhere, he’s threatened for the rest of his life. “There’s no saving me,” he says. It’s for good reason.Instead they’re ruthlessly vilified, hounded and punished when apprehended. Snowden’s free in Russia. He’s unable to go home. He fears for his safety.
Perhaps Mossad will try to abduct him. It wouldn’t surprise if it attempts replicating how it entrapped Vanunu. Rogue agencies operate this way.
CIA, NSA, Mossad and Israel’s secretive Unit 8200 perhaps are the worst. They operate extrajudicially. They make their own rules. They’ve done it throughout their history. Returning Snowden to America very much is US policy.
Israel won’t discuss its weapons of mass destruction. It never signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).
In 1993, it signed the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC). It refused to ratify it. It did so for spurious reasons. It wrongfully claims it’s surrounded by hostile neighbors. Israel’s only enemies are ones it invents.
It never signed the 1972 Biological Weapons Convention (BWC). Its policy is CBW ambiguity.
In 1993, the US Congress Office of Technology Assessment WMD proliferation assessment said Israel has undeclared offensive chemical warfare capabilities.
It uses banned weapons in all its conflicts. They include chemical, biological, and radiological ones. Hideous new weapons are tested. Injuries never seen before are reported.
Bodies with dead tissue showed no apparent wounds. Corpses were found shrunken. Civilians had heavy lower limb damage. Amputations were required.
Internal wounds had no trace of shrapnel. Corpses were blackened. They weren’t burned. Some badly wounded victims didn’t bleed. Explosives containing toxins and radiological materials are used.
They burn and destroy bodies. They do so internally. They leave permanent deformations. Unknown toxins believed to be nerve gas is used. So is white phosphorous. It burns flesh to the bone.
Depleted and enriched uranium weapons spread radioactive contamination. Close-range explosives cause severe injuries. Victims lose legs. Abdomens are sliced open. Some people are too far gone to be saved.
The Israeli Institute for Biological Research (IIBR) is top secret. Hundreds of scientists and technicians develop chemical and biological weapons. They’re used in combat.


Humankind’s Most Dangerous Moment: Fukushima Fuel Pool at Unit 4. “This is an Issue of Human Survival.”

The world community must now take charge at Fukushima

We are now within two months of what may be humankind’s most dangerous moment since the Cuban Missile Crisis.
There is no excuse for not acting. All the resources our species can muster must be focussed on the fuel pool at Fukushima Unit 4.
Fukushima’s owner, Tokyo Electric (Tepco), says that within as few as 60 days it may begin trying to remove more than 1300 spent fuel rods from a badly damaged pool perched 100 feet in the air. The pool rests on a badly damaged building that is tilting, sinking and could easily come down in the next earthquake, if not on its own.
Some 400 tons of fuel in that pool could spew out more than 15,000 times as much radiation as was released at Hiroshima.
The one thing certain about this crisis is that Tepco does not have the scientific, engineering or financial resources to handle it. Nor does the Japanese government. The situation demands a coordinated worldwide effort of the best scientists and engineers our species can muster.
Why is this so serious?
We already know that thousands of tons of heavily contaminated water are pouring through the Fukushima site, carrying a devil’s brew of long-lived poisonous isotopes into the Pacific. Tuna irradiated with fallout traceable to Fukushima have already been caught off the coast of California. We can expect far worse.
Tepco continues to pour more water onto the proximate site of three melted reactor cores it must somehow keep cool.Steam plumes indicate fission may still be going on somewhere underground. But nobody knows exactly where those cores actually are.
Much of that irradiated water now sits in roughly a thousand huge but fragile tanks that have been quickly assembled and strewn around the site. Many are already leaking. All could shatter in the next earthquake, releasing thousands of tons of permanent poisons into the Pacific.
The water flowing through the site is also undermining the remnant structures at Fukushima, including the one supporting the fuel pool at Unit Four.
More than 6,000 fuel assemblies now sit in a common pool just 50 meters from Unit Four. Some contain plutonium. The pool has no containment over it. It’s vulnerable to loss of coolant, the collapse of a nearby building, another earthquake, another tsunami and more.
Overall, more than 11,000 fuel assemblies are scattered around the Fukushima site. According to long-time expert and former Department of Energy official Robert Alvarez, there is more than 85 times as much lethal cesium on site as was released at Chernobyl.
Radioactive hot spots continue to be found around Japan. There are indications of heightened rates of thyroid damage among local children.
The immediate bottom line is that those fuel rods must somehow come safely out of the Unit Four fuel pool as soon as possible.
Just prior to the 3/11/11 earthquake and tsunami that shattered the Fukushima site, the core of Unit Four was removed for routine maintenance and refueling. Like some two dozen reactors in the US and too many more around the world, the General Electric-designed pool into which that core now sits is 100 feet in the air.
Spent fuel must somehow be kept under water. It’s clad in zirconium alloy which will spontaneously ignite when exposed to air. Long used in flash bulbs for cameras, zirconium burns with an extremely bright hot flame.
 Each uncovered rod emits enough radiation to kill someone standing nearby in a matter of minutes. A conflagration could force all personnel to flee the site and render electronic machinery unworkable.
According to Arnie Gundersen, a nuclear engineer with forty years in an industry for which he once manufactured fuel rods, the ones in the Unit 4 core are bent, damaged and embrittled to the point of crumbling. Cameras have shown troubling quantities of debris in the fuel pool, which itself is damaged.
The engineering and scientific barriers to emptying the Unit Four fuel pool are unique and daunting, says Gundersen. But it must be done to 100% perfection.
Should the attempt fail, the rods could be exposed to air and catch fire, releasing horrific quantities of radiation into the atmosphere. The pool could come crashing to the ground, dumping the rods together into a pile that could fission and possibly explode. The resulting radioactive cloud would threaten the health and safety of all us.
Chernobyl’s first 1986 fallout reached California within ten days. Fukushima’s in 2011 arrived in less than a week. A new fuel fire at Unit 4 would pour out a continuous stream of lethal radioactive poisons for centuries.
 Former Ambassador Mitsuhei Murata says full-scale releases from Fukushima “would destroy the world environment and our civilization. This is not rocket science, nor does it connect to the pugilistic debate over nuclear power plants. This is an issue of human survival.”
Neither Tokyo Electric nor the government of Japan can go this alone. There is no excuse for deploying anything less than a coordinated team of the planet’s best scientists and engineers.
For now, we are petitioning the United Nations and President Obama to mobilize the global scientific and engineering community to take charge at Fukushima and the job of moving these fuel rods to safety.
If you have a better idea, please follow it. But do something and do it now.
The clock is ticking. The hand of global nuclear disaster is painfully close to midnight.

Harvey Wasserman is Senior Editor of the Columbus Free Press and Free Press. He edits Nuke Free.
For now, we are petitioning the United Nations and President Obama to mobilize the global scientific and engineering community to take charge at Fukushima and the job of moving these fuel rods to safety.

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Tuesday, August 13, 2013

GETTING BENEFIT FROM THE SMALL IN EASTER MEDITERRANEAN


DEAR READERS CHAIRESTHAI EN IRENE,
THE LATEST GEOPOLITICAL AGREEMENTS BETWEEN GR-IS-CY ,ARE FORCING US TO EXPLAIN ONCE MORE THAT SUCH A  DECISION  ISN'T FOR THE BENEFIT OF THESE 3 STATES NOR FOR EASTER MEDITERRANEAN  WIDER  INTERESTS.
THIS WAS BRIEFLY ANALYSED SOME YEARS AGO ( GREECE SHOULD minimize ITS RELATIONS WITH ISRAEL ,WHICH LATELY BY FALSE POLICIES ,WERE DEVELOPED ) AND THE ENTRANCE OF NORWEGIAN INTERESTS TO THE FOSSIL SECTOR WAS AND STILL IS VERY POSITIVE.
NEVERTHELESS  IT IS THOUGHT THAT WHATEVER DIRECTION CYPRUS AND ISRAEL ARE GOING TO IMPLEMENT,WHICH DERIVES FROM THEIR COMMON PROBLEMS,BEING FACED  FOR SUCH DIVIDED COUNTRIES,GREECE SHOULD FOLLOW A STRICTLY EUROPEAN PARTNERSHIP AWAY OF THE GEO STRATEGICAL TERRITORIAL IMPLICATIONS.
IN THIS WAY BY TAKING ADVANTAGE OF THE TECHNICAL KNOWLEDGE ,PROVIDED BY SMALLER EUROPEAN PARTNERS (HOLLAND,BELGIUM,CZECH,SWEDEN,ROMANIA,DENMARK,PORTUGAL),MIGHT BE CREATED VARIOUS COMBINED CONSORTIUM ,IN ACCORDANCE TO EACH STATE'S LEADERSHIP ON SCIENTIFIC/TECHNOLOGICAL  LEVELS,FOR ENERGY AND WATERS.
THANKS FOR YOUR  KIND  ATTENTION.
HOPE THAT YOU  ARE  ALL ENJOYING YOUR BREAKS  FROM EVERY DAY LIFE'S EVENTS.
HYGEIAINETE
A.C.




Israel, Cyprus and Greece working on a joint strategic plan


Three democracies in the Eastern Mediterranean have come under pressure from an increasingly aggressive Turkey aiming to expand and consolidate its regional influence. Distinguished by their Western affiliations in an explosive part of the Islamic world and by a geographic proximity that may constitute an eventual advantage, these three countries are Israel, Greece, and the Republic of Cyprus.
They are also beset by political and, in two cases, critical economic problems. Greece and Cyprus, both members of the European Union, have become fiscal basket cases mired in entitlement addiction, redistributive economics, and unsustainable debt, teetering on the cusp of systemic bankruptcy. Having unwisely practiced a form of bureaucratic and fiduciary socialism, compounded by toxic banking practices, they now find themselves constantly in need of bailouts from the major European financial institutions and moneylending consortiums — the European Commission, the European Central Bank, and the International Monetary Fund — for which they will have to pay in the tainted coin of unpopular austerity measures, tax clawbacks, and banking levies on depositors. Capital flight is inevitable. Political unrest is a given.
Israel, by comparison, is an economic powerhouse, one of the few Western nations that have managed to weather the economic downturn of the last years, thanks to competent leadership and a vibrant technological and entrepreneurial sector. But Israel suffers from many impairments and detriments: a fractured political system, with over a dozen parties acrimoniously contending for representation in the Knesset, leading to largely unstable political coalitions; virulent terrorist entities on its borders; a subversive leftist intelligentsia and academic fifth column; energy dependence on an avowed enemy, Egypt (in addition to the misfortune that the pipeline running through the Sinai Peninsula is regularly sabotaged by Palestinian terrorists); and an American president intent on shriveling the country to its “Auschwitz borders” — a White House  map released on the eve of the president’s recent visit to Israel shows the Golan Heights as Syrian, northern Israel as part of Lebanon, and Jerusalem as part of the West Bank.
But there is good news too, in particular on the energy front, which promises economic relief, energy independence from foreign hydrocarbons, and, as a result, a more viable and resilient political situation. Two vast natural gas fields, dubbed Leviathan and Tamar, have been discovered roughly 80 miles off the coast of Israel, to be developed in collaboration with Cyprus, which stands to benefit from its own Aphrodite plot, with a view to exporting the product in combination with international companies. This project would involve Greece as well since, aside from the extraction of its own reserves in the south Aegean, one purported export route would run overland through Greece toward European markets, thus bypassing Turkey.
As Aristomenis Syngros, chairman of the Invest in Greece Agency, remarks in the Jerusalem Post, “The development of Greece-Israel relations is a cause for great satisfaction and offers the potential for wide-ranging synergies, win-win partnerships and significant bilateral advantages. The two countries, though small in size, can have a big impact on regional development.” Apart from areas for cooperation relating to “water management, organic farming, applied farm research, land improvement and aquiculture,” the new energy nexus may serve “as one of the most meaningful anchors of the Greek-Israel relationship.” Syngros concludes that “during this time of local, regional and global challenges, new strategic partnerships that harness competitive advantages … remain key priorities.”
This network of economic and cartographic symbiosis applies equally, as we have seen, to the Republic of Cyprus, settled by Mycenean Greeks in the 2nd millennium B.C. and which has remained demographically Greek to this day. As the Cyprus Mail reports, Commerce Minister Neoclis Sylikiotis, speaking at a signing ceremony for transfer agreements pertaining to drilling rights, said the deal brings “a new era of strategic partnership between Cyprus and Israel,” with both economic and political ramifications, opening up possibilities of “significant synergies.”
Similarly, the highly respected Washington D.C.-based research institute The Jamestown Foundation has noted the important economic basis that “these gas projects and potential exports to Europe” would establish. It reports that “Israel, Cyprus and Greece have been holding intensive talks in recent months at the prime ministers’, ministerial, and chiefs-of-staff levels, about offshore gas projects and regional security.” New gas pipelines and electricity cables linking the three countries, observes the Public Service Europe (PS) website, would be an energy-security plus for Europe. A collaborative energy venture would clearly yield significant dividends for the principal actors involved.
Not surprisingly there is strong opposition to this undertaking from the Islamic world in general and, more specifically, from the fundamentalist bloc in Turkey, an enemy which the three invested countries have in common. Greece, of course, has not forgotten the 400-year history of Ottoman occupation and is acutely aware of a renewed menace in the Aegean from the Islamic colossus to its immediate East, which has begun voicing claims to the tiny Greek island of Kastelorizo barely a mile off its southern coast. As Daniel Pipes writes, “That Athens controls this wisp of land implies it could (but does not yet) claim an exclusive economic zone (EEZ) in the Mediterranean Sea that reduces the Turkish EEZ to a fraction of what it would be were the island under Ankara’s control.” Indeed, “Were Athens to claim its full EEZ, Kastelorizo’s presence would make its EEZ contiguous with the EEZ of Cyprus.” Scoping has revealed enormous reserves off Crete and Kastelorizo, prompting Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan to deploy a fleet of warships into the area and to engineer other provocations.
Cyprus, in turn, is constantly looking over its shoulder to the northeast, where the Republic of Northern Cyprus, a Turkish conquest without international recognition, remains a perpetual threat. Substantial Turkish forces are stationed there and may conceivably be used to enforce a Northern claim to the Cypriot EEZ. And Israel for its part has seen its once friendly relations with Turkey disintegrate into a condition of overt hostility, with Erdogan responsible for dispatching a ship staffed with provocateurs to break the legal Israeli naval blockade of the terrorist enclave in Gaza and afterwards prosecuting Israeli officers in absentia, calling Zionism (along with “Islamophobia”) a “crime against humanity,” and threatening to send the Turkish navy into the eastern Mediterranean to prevent Israel from exploiting the gas fields. (The Tamar field, it should be noted, is now on line, supplying Israel’s energy needs.)
Cypriot energy analyst and president of the “one Cyprus” movement George Stavri, writing in the Research Institute for European and American Studies (RIEAS), has examined “how this New Energy Triangle (NET)…will shape and inevitably affect the new balance of power in this crucial part of the world.” Stavri, who is no friend to Israel, would like to see Turkey as a partner in the alliance rather than “odd man out of the NET,” since by his lights, “the NET is not a tool of foreign policy to be cast on Turkey to either entrap it or to isolate it.” Stavri fears that such a policy “will unfortunately boomerang on the two weaker links of the chain, Greece and Cyprus.” Turkey is patently of the same mind; Deputy Prime Minister Ali Babacan, ignoring the problematic status of Northern Cyprus as conquered territory and the fact that Turkey does not recognize the International Law of the Sea, has stated that the “only way to exploit the natural resources flows is through an agreement under the auspices of the U.N. secretary-general and by getting the consent of the Turkish Cypriot side.”
But Turkish participation would be plainly counterproductive, no less than Turkish admission into the EU would have been. There should be no hesitation in seeing Turkey under Erdogan’s ruling AKP as an Islamic imperialist regime seeking regional hegemony. Considering their shared prospects and common enemy, a feasible solution to this perilous state of affairs seems almost to suggest itself, namely, a formal Mediterranean association, based on mutual political, economic, and military concerns, between Israel, Cyprus and Greece. Full disclosure: the idea was first put forward as a “Mediterranean confederation” by a well-connected Coptic expatriate and personal acquaintance — who wishes to remain anonymous — and submitted to the Israeli government several years ago. “Confederation” may not be the right word as it implies political unification, but a robust alignment of national interests could be achieved through a covenant or league with military backing.
A union of this nature, reminiscent of the so-called “phantom” and comparatively short-lived Periphery Doctrine adopted by prime minister David Ben-Gurion in 1958 but collectively revived, strengthened, and upgraded in the present context, would pool the military resources of these countries under a joint leadership to be agreed upon, and would have the potential of impeding the Turkish hegemon from acting belligerently in the region. (One can see how this rejuvenated policy would work by studying Israel’s covert military agreement with a resurgent Ethiopia and in its leveraging of its knowledge-based industries with many other countries, such as Brazil, Nigeria, China, and India.) The talks currently underway in Jerusalem, Athens, and Nicosia are a favorable sign that a workable three-country strategic plan may be in the offing.
Israel, however, according to the Jamestown report cited above, is wary of becoming involved even indirectly in the Cyprus portion of the dispute, accounting, perhaps, for the lack of response to my acquaintance’s proposal. But such reluctance to contain the expansionist designs of Turkey, the new regional sheriff, would be a catastrophic error of timid and over-cautious statesmanship — no doubt in the ill-conceived hope of a future reconciliation with a veritable rogue state and implacable adversary. (Such temporizing is also evident in Israel’s carving out a part of its EEZ near Gaza for exploitation by the Palestinian Authority.) Writing for the German Marshall Fund of the United States(G/M/F), Sir Michael Leigh disparages the idea of “a zero-sum game” since “Israel and Turkey may in time overcome their differences.” But the temptation to delay, hedge, waffle, or appease in the face of the obvious needs to be resisted; Turkey is not likely to come around anytime soon.
Pressed by the Obama administration (and possibly by a perceived shared interest in containing the Syrian debacle), Prime Minister Netanyahu’s recent apology and offer of compensation for the Mavi Marmara incident, in which nine militants were killed after attacking lightly armed Israeli commandos, is a perfect example of such feckless and trembling wrongheadedness. The apology should have come from Turkey — which, as Benny Morris points out in The National Interest, “had unofficially orchestrated the flotilla operation.” There is no doubt that Turkey was the power behind the Hamas-and-al Qaida-connected IHH “charity” which was materially instrumental in organizing the Gaza-bound flotilla. As even the Turkish Hurriyet Daily News observes, “there can be no mistake that the Erdo?an government is morally and politically behind this group.” Efraim Inbar, director of the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies, is absolutely correct when he urges Jerusalem to “take off its gloves in dealing with Ankara.” An excellent rule of thumb is: never apologize, and certainly not to an autocrat, who will use one’s contrition as a weapon in his arsenal. (Consider how well Obama’s apology blitz has worked in the Muslim world!) Erdogan has already reneged on his quid pro quo to normalize relations with Israel and to fast-track an exchange of ambassadors, making Netanyahu look weak and foolish. Rubbing salt in the wound, Erdogan has announced that he will soon visit Gaza in what Ryan Mauro calls “a thinly-concealed victory lap.”
In any case, the neo-Ottoman initiative in the eastern Mediterranean was only to be expected and can be readily countered by a show of concerted pushback in the form of a determined three-nation entente — a pact with teeth. Former Israeli foreign minister Avigdor Lieberman understood the importance of “closer cooperation with Greece and Cyprus to offset the deterioration in relations with Turkey”; this cooperative program should now be enhanced and reinforced and the situational affinity between the three stakeholders recognized and expressed in hard, realpolitikterms. Mercantile transactions are often limned in fugitive pigments; what is demanded is a concordat chiseled in stone. The formal declaration of a mutual defense treaty, following a practical and resolute assembling of relevant assets and capabilities — a Mediterranean League — would do much to put a raving and bellicose Erdogan on his better behavior, or at least cause him to re-evaluate his warlike and invidious policies.
George Stavri alludes to an agreement that “has already been signed between Cyprus and Israel allowing the latter the use of Cyprus’ military infrastructure” in order to protect both plant and personnel. This provision may be regarded as one wall or tower in the construction of a more extended fortification and base of operations. Another is the cooperation agreement between the Hellenic and Israeli air forces, which have engaged in planning and execution exercises. These are strong preliminaries and, as it were, necessary scaffolding; nonetheless, in a stormy and volatile political climate where, to cite from the bilateral position paper of two American congressmen, the “current energy supply is particularly threatened by instability in the region,” it’s the edifice itself that counts in the long run. The elements are already in place; the question is whether to pussyfoot or to be pro-active. Submissive myopia is never a good idea in the face of a geopolitical bully. The kind of league or alliance being proposed is not aggressive in intention, but its status needs to be concretely ratified and a comprehensive structure set up if it is to serve its purpose as a deterrent. Turkey, for all its bluster and ostensible might, would be effectively stymied.
Circumstances now demand decisive action. A three-nation triangle as an expression of muscular political will and held together by a joint command center predicated on the ability to project power is more than a geometric figure on a map. It is a force-multiplier, a signal of conviction, and, in the eastern Mediterranean, a defensive configuration to be reckoned with. Its benefits in energy security, economic opportunity, political virility, and military preparedness should not be discounted.


By David Solway, PJM

SOURCE  http://www.israpundit.com  / 14-4-13



Israel, Greece, Cyprus sign energy and water deal 

 Three-way agreement enhances cooperation over electricity, natural gas and sewage treatment



The tripartite energy memorandum of understanding as signed in Nicosia, Cyprus, by Energy and Water Resources Minister Silvan Shalom; Nicos Kouyialis, the Cypriot minister of agriculture, natural resources and environment; and George Lakkotrypis, the Greek minister for the environment, energy and climate change. The underwater, 2,000-mega-watt EuroAsia   Interconnector “will lift Cyprus out of energy isolation, with cheaper electricity which will help our economy become more competitive,” Lakotrypis said. Shalom said the “historic” agreement “demonstrates the strong and tightening relations between the countries.” He added that the “electric conduit can easily become a cable that will supply and export electricity to the European energy market, and provide us with energy security.” The agreement also dealt with natural gas and water issues. The three countries will work together to protect natural gas fields, and have launched a project to cooperate with treatment of sewage as well as recycling water for use in farming. Turkey has challenged Cyprus’s right to some of the gas fields it claims, and has even threatened military intervention. Kouyialis said that the agreement signed on Thursday marks the continuation of an already existing partnership. He noted that Israeli companies were involved in the establishment of three of his country’s four permanent desalination plants. “A new era of cooperation starts today in the field of sewage treatment and waste water reuse that will help Cyprus improve its water balance, as substantial and constant quantities of recycled water will be utilized in the best possible way,” said Kouyialis. Shalom said that “Israel would like to give any help needed” and added that regional water security was necessary, “even though Cyprus is not facing the same threats that Israel is facing from terrorists.” Israel’s partnership with Cyprus on natural gas is seen as a challenge to Turkey, which has in threatened Cyprus over gas fields it claims for itself. Jerusalem upgraded its relationship with Cyprus and Greece as its ties with Turkey, once the Jewish state’s prime regional ally, began to deteriorate following the rise of Islamist President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in 2007. The proposal will be brought before the cabinet on Sunday for government approval.
SOURCE  http://www.timesofisrael.com/


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Monday, February 11, 2013

THE MODERNIZATION OF TURKEY

THE MODERNIZATION PROCEEDS  FASTER IN THE ECONOMIC SECTOR ,WHEN THE RHYTHMS ON THE DEMOCRATIC/SOCIAL LEVEL ARE PROCEEDING SLOWLY.
THAT DIFFERENCE WILL AUGMENT THE EXISTING TRADITIONAL GAP WHICH WILL CAUSE  HARMFUL EFFECTS TO THE MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT  LATER ON.
THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION
HYGEIAINETE
A.CH.

(by clicking the title it  redirects to eu page concerning turkey's membership)



Prospects for the Turkish economy in 2013

Last week I analyzed the performance of the Turkish economy in my column. Today I want to focus on my projections for next year.

The Turkish economy grew by 8.9 percent during the 2010-2011 period, making it one of the world's fastest-growing economies. However, this was achieved at the expense of deteriorating inflation as well as a current account deficit (CAD). Inflation exceeded 10 percent and the CAD reached almost 10 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2012.
These developments prompted the Central Bank of Turkey to tighten its policy to rein in bank lending. It seems that Turkey has completed the process of normalizing the overall macroeconomic climate at the end of 2012. Growth has slowed markedly since mid-2011, with a deceleration in domestic demand only partly offset by surging exports. Growth decelerated to almost 3 percent this year. As a result, the large CAD has begun to narrow and might be recorded at a level of 7-8 percent of GDP at the end of 2012.
Also it is expected that yearend inflation figures will be between 6-7 percent. For the year 2013, growth is projected to regain momentum on the back of recovering domestic demand that would be fostered by increased access to loans as long as fiscal and price developments allow it. Growth will rise to around 5 percent in 2013. However, inflation and the CAD are projected to remain well above comfort levels due to the recent process of rebalancing, not as a result of significant achievements on the structural front.
Moreover, gains in competitiveness, mainly stemming from the nominal exchange rate depreciation in 2011, have since largely been eroded. Therefore, Turkey has to manage a number of developments in 2013. Obviously, the country has the capability to motivate growth in 2013 well above 5 percent by fostering domestic demand. However, as mentioned above, this process is limited by fiscal and price indicators.
Therefore, as suggested by Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) economist Rauf Gönenç, last month, “Monetary policy should continue to focus on disinflation. Fiscal policy could play a more active countercyclical role if international and domestic conditions worsen. However, this should be done without undermining fiscal credibility. Fiscal credibility would be bolstered by introducing a public spending ceiling and publishing quarterly consolidated general government accounts based on international standards.”
Two recent developments should be taken into account in this regard. The Federal Reserve (the Fed) of the US announced new targets in the economy. To remind, the Fed announced that the currently near-zero interest rate level will be kept until unemployment falls closer to a normal level of 6.5 percent provided that inflation remains below its target of roughly 2 percent annually. In order to ensure this, it is expected that monetary easing will continue at least until the end of 2015.
Also, the same aggressive monetary easing process started in Japan last week. Having considered that the same process has been under implementation in the eurozone, it can be expected that excess liquidity will flow into the emerging economies that have dynamic growth potential with relatively robust macroeconomic indicators. The address in 2013 is obviously Turkey. That is why credit rating agency Fitch Ratings improved Turkey's rate to an investible country category. Based on these developments, the central bank announced its 2013 monetary program last week. With this program, the central bank announced a new policy tool to limit risks of excessive debt in the banking system by placing higher reserve requirements on banks that fail to meet specified leverage ratios. It has a significant signaling effect on the market players that macro-prudential measures will be more active in 2013.
Until Turkey accomplishes its painful and costly structural reforms with a dependable social compromise, the country will try to maintain its growth, CAD and inflation level at 5 percent, a level that is not satisfactory in the longer term.

İBRAHİM ÖZTÜRK

SOURCE  http://www.todayszaman.com




Syria’s refugee crisis is getting worse – for those who flee and for those who take them in. Christopher Phillips reports

As Syria’s uprising descends into a increasingly bloody civil war, the number of refugees fleeing the fighting has rocketed. In August alone 100,000 Syrians headed for the relative safety of neighbouring states, almost doubling the number seeking refuge since the unrest began to 235,000, according to the UN’s refugee agency, UNHCR. Unregistered refugees mean the numbers are far higher.
Though they might have escaped the civil war, when they cross the border refugees face a host of new challenges. Syria’s Arab neighbours – Jordan, Lebanon and Iraq – are poorly equipped to handle the crisis and most refugees find themselves in hastily put together camps, or with families struggling to support themselves. Even Turkey, wealthier and better equipped than most, has struggled. Resources, shelter and work are all scarce for the refugees, and the international community has been slow to respond.
Yet the rapidly expanding crisis poses problems not only for refugees. The host states themselves are wary of the social, economic and political pressures their new guests have brought. Here we look at the effects on Jordan and Turkey.

Jordan under strain
Jordan has taken in Syrian refugees since the beginning of the uprising. Deraa, where protesters first clashed with the forces of President Bashar al-Assad in March 2011, is barely 6 kilometres from the border and shares familial and tribal links with the neighbouring Jordanian Houran region.
The first refugees were mostly people from Deraa seeking refuge with extended family, but as the violence spread Syrians from further afield – Damascus, Homs and Hama – headed south. Most arrive with shocking stories of Assad’s brutality. Ahmed, a farmer from the Deraa coun-tryside, speaks of his reluctance to leave Syria. ‘They killed my son,’ he said. ‘He wasn’t involved in any demonstrations, just working the fields, when a sniper shot him in the head. Even then, though, I didn’t want to leave. But then we heard stories of Assad’s men, the shabbiha, raping women in Deraa, systematically using sexual violence as a weapon. I was scared for my daughters so we fled.’ Crossing the border is no easy task. The Jordanian army has clashed with Syrian troops to prevent them firing on fleeing refugees. ‘We hid in the forests for three months, preparing to cross,’ said Ahmed. ‘We managed to avoid any Syrian troops, and climbed over the border at night. Then we were stopped by a Jordanian soldier and I was scared he might send us back as we had no papers. He just said ‘alf ahla’ [a thousand welcomes]. I wept.’
Ahmed, his wife and their five children are being looked after by a charity in a private home in Turah, a few miles outside Ramtha in the Houran. While wealthier refugees find their own accommodation, these officially sanctioned charities have been essential over the past year in finding homes for poorer Syrians, given Jordan’s reluctance to build refugee camps. But things are rapidly changing with refugee numbers mushrooming this summer to more than 180,000, according to the Jordanian government. It opened a camp in Zaatari in late July 2012, and a new law declared that any future Syrian refugees would have to live in organized camps. Conditions in this tent city are grim. Located on windswept barren land, where temperatures have regularly been above 40C, Zaatari witnessed a riot by refugees complaining about living conditions within weeks of opening. By then, the camp’s population was already 25,000, forcing Jordan to plan new camps.
Jordan is struggling to cope. Already a poor country relying heavily on money from the US and the Gulf to balance its budget, Jordan is worried about the economic impact of the refugee crisis. In August, together with the UNHCR, it made an urgent appeal for $429 million, revising this to $700 million within a week. While the US pledged $100 million, the international community as a whole has been slow to react.
Many refugees, fearing the reach of Syria’s intelligence service even in exile, choose not to register for a camp and live outside, adding to Jordan’s financial burden. One such refugee from Homs, Mustafa, spoke of the medical treatment he was receiving. ‘My eardrums were blown out when a government shell exploded next to my furniture shop,’ he said, ‘Thankfully the [Jordanian] government paid for the hospital.’ His six-year-old son, was attending a course over the summer to catch up on missed school work. While this was paid for by the UNHCR, he will now join a Jordanian school that already packs more than 40 children into each class. Mustafa himself said he will look for casual work, but with unemployment in Jordan at 14 per cent, the economy cannot absorb him or the many more like him.
So far Jordanians remain sympathetic to their Syrian guests. But there are worries that economic problems could mutate into political tension. Competition for resources such as jobs, education and health services may test the Jordanians’ hospitality, especially if refugee numbers continue to grow. Memories of the 1970 Black September civil war between militia drawn from Palestinian refugees and the Jordanian government will also make author-ities wary of any political activity among Syrian refugees. Already the government have reportedly denied entry to Syrians of Palestinian origin, fearing it may upset Jordan’s delicate political balance, although the government has denied this. Any link between Syrian refugees and Islamists will similarly worry Amman. The potential for the destabilization of Jordan grows with every refugee crossing its border.

Spillover in Turkey
Turkey’s response to the Syria crisis has been better organized than Jordan’s, being wealthier and better placed to cope with the 80,000 refugees that had arrived by late August. As in Jordan, Syrians are allowed to rent private accommodation, though they are denied the right to work. As most are from poor backgrounds, they live in official camps, unlike the dispersed refugees in Jordan. Turkey sought to control the situation early on, building four refugee camps in Hatay, Gaziantep, Kilis and Urfa. Until now, Turkey has largely been able to fund its response to the crisis itself; with the government controlled Turkish Red Crescent and AFAD disaster agency taking the lead rather than UNHCR. Foreign journalists are barred from entering the camps, although independent observers from Turkish charities attest to the good conditions inside.
Some refugees, who are free to travel around Turkey and speak to foreigners outside the camps, are more ambivalent about camp life. ‘It is our prison!’ says Mohammad, a teenager from Aleppo outside Kilis camp, ‘The guards treat us badly and life is too expensive.’ The Turkish government gives each refugee 20 Turkish Lira (£7) a week but, says Mohammad, this is barely enough for food. A few of the younger refugees risk their lives crossing back into Syria to buy subsidized cigarettes to sell in Turkey, but most are unemployed. As in Jordan, these frustrations have led to rioting. Kilis camp residents spoke of a demonstration in late July when they demanded better conditions, prompting the Turkish guards to fire tear gas at the crowd. ‘Women and children were hurt and fell down,’ explains Nawar, another Kilis resident. ‘There may be some bad people in this camp, but they have been oppressed [in Syria] for a long time. They are desperate and need money and food. I think they just reached breaking point.’
Kilis is the only camp with solid container homes, the rest being tented cities. Older heads complain of youthful ingratitude. ‘This is by far the best camp in Turkey, the rioters are just trouble-makers,’ says Karim, a middle-aged teacher from Hama. ‘I was first in Urfa camp but it was far too hot, which was unhealthy for my baby daughter. My wife and I crossed back into Syria, risking attacks from the regime army, just to get to Kilis and have a container home.’
While Turkey has avoided the economic difficulties faced by Jordan, social and political costs are emerging. Worryingly, Syria’s sectarian problems could be exported. In Syria members of Assad’s Alawis sect, who have backed the president, are blamed by many from the Sunni Muslim majority for the regime’s violence. However, Antakya, the Turkish city in Hatay where many Syrian refugees have fled, is dominated by Turkish Alawis who are sympathetic to Assad and their co-religionists in Syria. There is little sympathy for the refugees.
‘They are all terrorists,’ said Mehmet, an Alawi businessman, ‘we hate them.’ Like many in the city, he equates all the refugees with the armed rebels given sanctuary by the Turkish government to fight Assad. Such rebels, many of whom are Islamist, have caused fear in this secular city. ‘They walk around with their long beards looking like al-Qaeda,’ said Olgun, an Alawi doctor, ‘I’ve heard they have told some Turkish Alawis, ‘after Bashar, you’re next!’’
Many Antakyan Sunnis agree that the refugees could destabilise the city. ‘Antakya has always been safe for all sects: Alawis, Christians, Sunnis,’ explains Ahmet, a Sunni business student, ‘Now I hear people are buying guns to protect themselves. This used to be unheard of.’
Despite Antakyans’ complaints, there are signs that the Turkish government is responding, trying in late August to move refugees out of Hatay. Similarly, new camps are being built further away from the border. Yet this may not undo the damage done, or ensure that Turkey’s different ethnic groups stay above the unfolding civil war in Syria. Already the dynamics of Kurdish politics in Turkey have been affected, with the secessionist Kurdish militants the PKK emboldened both by renewed support from Assad’s government and by recent gains by Syria’s Kurds.
The Syrian crisis is hurting Turkey far more than expected and, as more refugees flood over the border, new solutions are being sought to take the pressure off Turkey’s resources and calm its own population.
One option discussed by Ankara is to establish a safe zone inside Syria itself to house the refugees. This, however, would effectively require Turkey and Assad to go to war, a decision that will not be taken lightly.
The surge of refugees fleeing Syria’s violence seems to have caught the Jordanian, Turkish and other neighbouring governments by surprise. In many ways it says a lot for the determination of the Syrian people that they, like Ahmed from Deraa, resisted fleeing for so long. At the same time, the sudden surge seen in the summer suggests a major increase in violence and a loss of hope that the war will be over soon.
Their flight should not surprise us, however. Syria is in civil war and, as seen in Iraq and Lebanon in the 2000s and 1970s and 80s, that creates refugees. What is important now is that the refugee crisis does not become too great a burden on the host states, already under strain.
Recent Jordanian, Pakistani and Rwandan history shows us the dangers for host societies of a highly politicized and desperate refugee community if handled badly. While the international community have been unable to prevent Assad’s brutality, they can cushion the fallout for the hosts and improve the lot of Syria’s refugees soon to face a long winter in tent cities.

Christopher Phillips is lecturer in the international relations of the Middle East at Queen Mary, University of London, and an associate fellow at Chatham House. His book, Everyday Arab Identity: The Daily Reproduction of the Arab World, is available from Routledge

SOURCE   http://www.chathamhouse.org




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